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I’d like to begin today with a story about history and headlines.
As I walk along the corridors in the State Department, I step through
history. Lining the walls are portraits of former Secretaries of State and
stewards of American foreign policy. In particular, if you pass through
the ceremonial Treaty Room and head toward my office, you will see the
portrait of Henry Stimson.
Perhaps best known as Franklin D. Roosevelt’s Secretary of War, Colonel
Stimson played a pivotal but less remembered role in Central America in
1927. President Calvin Coolidge had sent him to mediate among the
competing factions in a Nicaraguan civil war. Stimson negotiated a
ceasefire, the disarmament of forces, and the conduct of elections, as the
U.S. Marines kept the peace. Stimson was hailed in the press as a
peacemaker. He went on to become governor-general of the Philippines and
later the 47th U.S. Secretary of State.
But a Nicaraguan general named Sandino refused to accept the election.
Violence flared again, Sandino was killed, and the Somoza family imposed a
long dictatorship. Now fast-forward some sixty years, to the time when I
last served in the State Department under President George H.W. Bush and
Secretary James Baker.
In 1989, a Communist dictatorship named for General Sandino was in power.
With support from Fidel Castro and the Soviet Union, Daniel Ortega and a
clique of Sandinista commandantes had hijacked a democratic revolution
against the Somozas in 1979. For ten years, the Sandinistas jailed
political opponents, confiscated property, and destroyed the country’s
economy.
Contra rebels, backed by the United States and based in Honduras, were
waging a determined struggle against this regime. Here in the United
States, fights in Congress over “contra aid” dominated the headlines.
These were some of our most divisive domestic political battles since the
Vietnam War. The conflict even threatened the Reagan Presidency.
Elsewhere in Central America, El Salvador’s fledgling democracy was
battling Cuban and Soviet-supported revolutionaries. Guatemala’s long
civil war continued amid repression and human rights abuses. Even
peaceful, democratic Costa Rica was flooded with refugees fleeing war.
In 1989, our new Administration negotiated with Congress a Bipartisan
Accord for Central America. We ended the domestic wars over this region
and joined together in support of a regional peace plan that called for
democratic elections and an end to outside support for revolutionary
guerrilla armies.
We also made Central America the testing ground for the new ideas in
foreign policy proclaimed by President Gorbachev, enlisting the
cooperation of the waning Soviet Union to end the region’s long civil
wars. Indeed, bringing peace to Central America was an early, important
step in ending the Cold War.
The 1990s profoundly changed the history of Central America: the
Sandinistas were decisively defeated in Nicaragua’s first free
elections, and the contra army was peacefully demobilized. El Salvador
negotiated a peace accord that strengthened civilian rule and human
rights, and disarmed the guerilla army. Guatemala followed suit with a
national peace accord. When President Bush 41 left office in January 1993,
every nation in Central America was headed by a democratically-elected
leader for the first time in history.
But with the advent of peace and democracy, Central America once again
faded from U.S. headlines.
The Price of Neglect
Henry Stimson’s brief diplomatic mission to Nicaragua -- and the
on-again, off-again nature of our attention to Central America since 1993
-- suggest a lesson from the pages of American history. The involvement of
the United States in Central America has been episodic, with our attention
swinging from intense periods of intervention to long periods of neglect,
only to have the region again erupt onto our front pages.
From Stimson’s time to the present time, America has paid a heavy price
for neglecting Central America. Today, Central America is once again in
our headlines: We are now engaged in a great debate about the nature of
our relationship with these small but important neighbors. Once again, we
run the risk of turning our backs on Central America. After almost two
decades of democratic progress, the advances could turn to retreat, and
the region could again slide into a new time of troubles.
Our domestic debate over the U.S.-Central America-Dominican Republic Free
Trade Agreement (CAFTA) is about much more than trade. The people of
Central America fought and struggled, and many died, because they believed
that democracy would bring not only peace, but also a better life for them
and their children. Now the people of the region are asking the United
States to help secure the work of democracy through a closer economic
relationship that could provide a new foundation for building opportunity.
Yet never has the gap between Central America and the United States loomed
larger. Central Americans are talking about freedom, democracy, and hope.
Meanwhile, our domestic debate has been dominated by topics such as sugar
and whether CAFTA will codify international labor conventions that the
United States has not even ratified itself.
Our domestic debate pays slight attention to the historic opportunity to
stabilize and support Central America while promoting America’s
strategic interests and values.
At root, the debate on CAFTA is fundamentally about America’s role in
the world and our relations in this hemisphere:
We must decide whether we will sacrifice the strategic interests of
the United States and the future of Central America… for a spoonful of
sugar.
We must decide whether we will leave hundreds of thousands of Central
Americans in poverty and hopelessness… because of the short-sighted
protectionism of U.S. labor unions.
We must decide what message to send to struggling democracies in
other regions, such as the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Africa…
where economic reformers are pushing for freedom and need our support.
In short, we must decide whether to promote America’s strategic
interests -- or its special interests.
The world is watching. If we retreat to isolationism, Daniel Ortega, Hugo
Chavez, and others like them -- autocrats of left or right -- will push
ahead.
The Strategic Choice: Reform or Retreat
From a strategic perspective, the choice should not be hard. In many ways,
CAFTA is the logical culmination of twenty years of democratic and social
progress in Central America, nurtured and encouraged by the United States.
In Nicaragua, for example, for the first time in the country’s history,
a former president was jailed for stealing. President Enrique Bolaños’s
courageous battle against corruption set a precedent for future leaders in
the region. But President Bolaños is now confronting a grim alliance
between unreconstructed Sandinistas and the corrupt allies of former
President Alemán. If we can’t help Bolaños bring economic opportunity
to his people, the old guard that stole from a poor people may stage a
political comeback.
In Guatemala, President Oscar Berger was elected to replace Alfonso
Portillo, who fled the country in an attempt to evade corruption charges.
Berger has reduced the size of the military by more than 50 percent and
has made the military's long-secret budget more transparent. Free trade
reduces and enhances governmental transparency, curtailing state
illegality and inefficient economic regulation, strengthening President
Berger’s campaign against corruption.
In Honduras, President Maduro is trying to move his country into the 21st
Century by building a dry canal between the oceans to help integrate his
country into the world economy. CAFTA is a cornerstone of Maduro’s
development strategy.
In El Salvador, Antonio Saca, a progressive young President won election
by campaigning vigorously for CAFTA. Saca overcame the former head of the
Communist party of El Salvador, an FMLN hardliner who has blocked internal
reform of his party.
In the Dominican Republic, an outgoing and an incoming administration --
though keen political opponents -- showed the growing maturity of that
democracy by working cooperatively to address budget and financial crises.
President Fernandez – like President Mejia before him -- has pressed to
make the DR part of CAFTA to strengthen the climate for investment and
hope in the Caribbean.
These are encouraging signs and represent remarkable progress. But the
young democracies of Central America are fragile, and the old enemies of
reform have not gone away.
In Nicaragua, Daniel Ortega is still a political force. He opposes CAFTA.
Together with the jailed ex-president Alemán, Ortega recently tried to
strip power from the country’s freely-elected president through a
legislative coup. The Sandinistas then incited street protests that turned
violent while Ortega was on a visit to Havana. His methods show that while
Ortega is a little older and a little grayer, he is still an opponent of
freedom.
FMLN leader Schafik Hándal of El Salvador joined Ortega’s journey to
Havana, to voice support for a new Cuba-Venezuela trade pact that he said
should be a replacement for CAFTA.
The region is setting its course for the future: down one path travel
modern, democratic leaders who believe in economic reform, adaptations to
the challenges and openings of the global economy, democracy, and better
social conditions for all their peoples. Down the other travel the pied
pipers of populism, who hold out the false promise of economic autarky
achieved by the dangerous means of political authoritarianism and
personalized power.
CAFTA Will Strengthen Democracy
As the elected Presidents of Central America and Dominican Republic
explained when they visited eleven cities across the United States before
coming to Washington last week, CAFTA matters most to them because it will
strengthen the foundations of democracy by promoting growth and cutting
poverty, creating equality of opportunity, and reducing corruption.
First, and most fundamentally, CAFTA means economic growth. When a middle
class develops and people have a larger economic stake in their society,
they demand more of a say in how that society is run. This is profoundly
important to the region’s democratic success. To strengthen democracy in
the region, its people need to see concrete benefits from economic freedom
-- tangible improvements in their daily life. Nothing is a more secure
anchor for democracy than citizens who are employed and building better
lives for their families.
Trade is a vital instrument in the toolbox of transformational diplomacy.
CAFTA will encourage the investment of new capital, both foreign and
domestic. Improved protection for intellectual property will encourage new
creative industries and access to life-saving medicines, as we have
already seen in other FTA partners, from Jordan to Singapore. CAFTA’s
provisions will encourage competitive and modern services industries,
which supply the infrastructure of development -- for telecommunications,
financial, distribution, express delivery, or energy services. Without
these service networks, countries will have a difficult time integrating
into a world of global sourcing, investment, transportation, and
information flows.
The long-term certainty of special trade and business access to the large
and dynamic U.S. market will lead to more growth and less poverty. Our
recent free trade agreement with Chile expanded exports -- on both sides
-- by more than 30 percent in the first year, and U.S. exports jumped over
50 percent in the first quarter of 2005. By opening its economy and
embracing far-reaching economic reforms and disciplines, Chile cut poverty
by more than half in the last decade. The record from around the world is
clear: Nations that open markets to trade and encourage foreign investment
do better in raising incomes and reducing poverty.
Second, CAFTA will promote equality of opportunity in economies long
dominated by economic elites. For centuries Central American society has
been highly stratified, with\ a few powerful families controlling the vast
majority of economic activity. CAFTA will create opportunities for people
from all walks of life. Dealer protection laws, which for decades gave
exclusive rights to distribute products to a select few, will be
eliminated. Trade capacity-building assistance will be targeted at helping
small entrepreneurs to build businesses. Tariffs protecting companies
controlled by a small number of powerful families will be swept away. In
both the United States and in Central America, the costs of protection
fall more heavily on poorer families, who devote a greater share of meager
funds to consumption.
Third, CAFTA goes beyond cutting tariffs to require broad changes in the
way economies and polities operate, challenging those who have grown
corrupt and complacent in captive, uncompetitive markets. The agreement
requires fair and open rules in customs administration, government
procurement, and services regulation. It criminalizes bribery, casts
sunlight on procedures long hidden from public scrutiny, and strengthens
the rule of law. Under CAFTA economies will be based on rules, not corrupt
relationships.
Fourth, CAFTA contains unprecedented provisions to strengthen the role of
civil society groups and individual citizens, the threads that weave the
modern democratic fabric. Groundbreaking environmental provisions not only
require effective enforcement of laws protecting the environment, but also
give citizens a much greater role in highlighting and correcting
trade-related environmental abuses. To improve protection of workers, the
countries of the region invited the International Labor Organization to
conduct a thorough and wide-ranging review of their labor laws and
enforcement efforts. They then worked with the Inter-American Development
Bank to identify specific improvements that will help protect worker
rights.
These openings provide important new opportunities for non-governmental
organizations to support economic development with attention to particular
societal concerns. Patricia Forkan of Humane Society International
recently told Congress, “the momentum brought about by the DR-CAFTA has
brought the issues of protecting the environment, habitat and species
protection, and the need for balancing environmental protections and
economic development to the forefront in Central America. The Central
Americans are… asking for our assistance, our friendship, and our
support.”
Trade is not, standing alone, a guarantee of democratic freedom.
Comprehensive free trade agreements can play a vital role, but should also
be linked with policies to combine trade and aid. That is why the
Administration is working to make sure our economic assistance programs
and our trade agenda go hand in hand, with more than $80 million in
trade-related capacity building assistance in 2004. At the State
Department, for example, we are directing our economic assistance programs
in Central America toward better enforcement of labor laws, protection of
the environment, fighting corruption, and strengthening the practices of
democracy. And we are working with multilateral institutions like the
Inter-American Development Bank to make concrete improvements in labor law
enforcement and to assist countries to benefit from more open markets.
CAFTA and U.S. Security
CAFTA is the right thing to do because it will strengthen democracy
through economic growth and open societies based on the rule of law. But
from a strategic perspective, it is also the smart thing to do for the
United States, because we do not live in isolation from what happens in
Central America.
Our security is connected to development in our neighborhood. Criminal
gangs, drug trafficking, even trafficking in persons create dangerous
transnational networks. CAFTA offers a way to treat the cause, rather than
just the symptoms, of the problems in our neighborhood. CAFTA will also
strengthen our ties of partnership with more robust democratic governments
that have a shared interest in countering these threats.
Economic growth, more equitable income distribution, and opening
opportunity are keys to resolving the security problems that menace North
and Central America today. When there is instability and poverty in our
neighborhood, it is common sense to help our neighbors address those
problems at home rather than import them into our own country.
As long as there is poverty in Latin America, some will still see a
powerful incentive to leave their homes, their families and their friends
to come to the United States. Some will break our laws to do so, and
tragically, others will die trying. CAFTA will ease the crushing poverty
that motivates such migration. As Americans, we want people to have the
opportunity to come to our country legally and enrich our society. But we
want that decision to be driven by choice, not by economic desperation.
Collectively, the United States, Central America and the Dominican
Republic face a common challenge: the rise of China as a major economic
power. Through CAFTA, we can unite within our hemisphere to better face
that challenge. In businesses such as textiles and apparel, and
increasingly in other industries as well, companies in the United States
are closely linked with producers in the region. A t-shirt that says, “Made
in Honduras” is likely to contain more than sixty percent U.S. content,
while a t-shirt that says, “Made in China” is likely to contain
virtually none. This is why both the National Council of Textile
Organizations and the National Cotton Council support CAFTA. The agreement
will strengthen links with important economic partners in the face of
rising competition from China.
Ironically, if economic isolationists torpedo CAFTA over issues such as
labor rights, apparel production and other similar industries will move to
China. This highlights the inherent contradiction in the position of CAFTA’s
opponents. They claim to be concerned about worker rights, yet seem to
ignore the devastation for workers that would result from defeating the
agreement. The competitive challenge from China has changed the strategic
equation: without CAFTA, tens of thousands of Central Americans and
Dominicans will be thrown out of work and back into poverty and
hopelessness. And many of them will end up on our borders. The opponents
of CAFTA are not offering something better for the people of Central
America. They are turning their backs on them.
Opponents claim to be defending poor people and working families against
the ravages of globalization. But the country in Latin America that has
dramatically reduced inequality, unemployment, and poverty in recent
decades while also increasing real wages and pensions for working families
is Chile -- the country that has most opened its economy to free trade.
If CAFTA is voted down, the region's poor will not improve their lot;
instead investment will be diverted elsewhere, Central America and the
Dominican Republic will grow more slowly, wages will be lower, and a door
to upward mobility for the region's poor will be slammed in their face.
If CAFTA is defeated, it will not be replaced by some mythical,
"perfect" agreement that incorporates every opponent's wish list
of provisions; instead Central America and the Dominican Republic will be
at a permanent disadvantage.
If CAFTA is defeated, labor rights in Central America will not be
strengthened; instead workers in the region will lose thousands more jobs
to China, competition for work will be more desperate, and in that
environment democratic trade unions and workers' rights will be weaker.
The right answer on labor rights is to extend a helping hand to improve
enforcement of the laws on the books, to encourage ongoing labor reforms,
to draw U.S. businesses that provide better conditions, and to increase
prosperity.
Opportunity or Fear?
More than seventy-five years ago, frustrated by his experience in
Nicaragua, Henry Stimson wrote that the people of that country “were not
fitted for the responsibilities that go with independence and still less
fitted for popular self-government.”
Fifteen years ago, former Costa Rican president Oscar Arias made a more
accurate observation. He said, “Without democracy, there can be no
peace.”
For most of the 20th Century, Central America was plagued by civil war,
social strife, and violent conflict. Today, it is a region of fragile
democracies seeking a closer economic partnership with the United States.
These countries are looking North because they believe in the United
States -- not for dependency, but for opportunity. They simply want a
chance to compete, to trade, to build with us. But success is not assured,
for the old enemies of reform are still close at hand.
For the United States, CAFTA represents a strategic choice about our role
in the region, Latin America, and the world. We must decide whether we
will stand with those who stand for freedom, and whether we will stare
down the old specter of economic isolationism. It would be a mistake of
historic proportions if we turned our back on these struggling
democracies. CAFTA is an opportunity to sustain and support the work of
democratic reform in a region whose problems -- if ignored once again --
would quickly become our own, as they have before.
For Central America and the Dominican Republic, CAFTA is a chance to
strengthen democracy, expand economies, reduce poverty and corruption, and
widen the circle of economic opportunity. It is also a challenge to the
United States to complete the work of democracy and peace that we began
two decades ago.
For all of us, CAFTA is the opportunity of a generation.
To seize it, the President will need your help.
As I have made the case for CAFTA to the Congress, I have been struck that
leaders from opposing sides in the political conflicts over Central
America in the 1980s – Senator Dodd from one perspective, Chairmen Hyde
and Dreier along with Senator McCain from another -- come together on
CAFTA.
These veterans know the high price of fighting for democracy in Central
and Latin America. They know the stakes in the vote on CAFTA.
We need you -- each of you -- to have a voice in this debate. The Members
of Congress will be casting a vote on America’s future. This is a vote
historians will write about.
We need you to ensure Congress knows the stakes.
I am confident that in the end the Congress of the United States will not
turn its back on Central America and the Dominican Republic. I believe a
bipartisan majority of farsighted members of the Congress will ratify this
historic agreement just as they supported the Caribbean Basin Initiatives
in the past.
Thank you for helping.
Robert B. Zoellick is Deputy Secretary of State. He delivered these
remarks to The Heritage Foundation on May 16, 2005.
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